Wind AlliesTier 2
at Scry Games AMB Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.4% | 8 | 0-8-0 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 30.5% | -9.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.6% | 9 | 6-3-0 | 66.7% | 61.5% | 63.2% | +6.1 |
| Slimes | 9.6% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +0.8 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 9.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.6% | -10.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.7% | 7 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 52.1% | +1.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.0% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 47.2% | -1.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.1% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 64.2% | +9.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.5% | -4.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.3% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 39.1% | -7.0 |
| Fire Exia | 1.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.7% | +3.5 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.5 |
| Water Allies | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 0.9% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.3% | +5.5 |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +16.9 |
| Wind Exia | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Jin | 0.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.9% | +16.2 |
| Wind Kongming | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +7.9 |
| Wind Slimes | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.6 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 12 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 52 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 52 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Armored Valkyrie | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Charged Mannequin | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Manufacture Cell | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Parcenet, Royal Maid | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mercurial Heart | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Lurking Assailant | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Inspiring Call | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Favorable Winds | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Phalanx Captain | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Prototype Pistol | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Windpiercer | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Drawn Blade | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Oath of the Sakura | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Ears | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |